Packers’ Projected Win Total in 2024, Revealed

   

Green Bay Packers Josh Jacobs

Jordan Love and the Green Bay Packers surprised everyone when they exceed expectations last season. For the NFL 2024-25 season, they’re projected to achieve a record close to their previous campaign.

The Packers’ 2024 schedule has been unveiled, featuring a dynamic lineup that includes games on multiple days of the week. The season kicks off on September 6 with an exciting matchup against the Philadelphia Eagles in São Paulo, Brazil. The Packers will also play on consecutive Thursdays, culminating in a Thanksgiving night game against the Miami Dolphins at Lambeau Field—only the second time the team has hosted a Thanksgiving game since 1923.

Green Bay Packers, Jordan Love
Green Bay Packers quarterback Jordan Love throws the ball in practice on Saturday, July 27, 2024, at Ray Nitschke Field in Ashwaubenon, Wis. Love signed a four-year, $220 million contract extension on Friday after sitting out of the first four team practices while his contract was being negotiated.
Tork Mason/USA TODAY NETWORK-Wisconsin

Throughout the season, the Packers face a tough set of opponents, highlighted by a challenging stretch from Weeks 12 to 14 where they take on the San Francisco 49ers, Miami Dolphins, and Detroit Lions, all of whom had impressive records last season. This segment could be pivotal for the Packers if they aim for a playoff spot.

Looking ahead, Love is projected to be a key player, with bold predictions suggesting he may enter the MVP conversation by consistently outperforming prominent quarterbacks throughout the season. With a schedule tied for the fourth-hardest in the league, the Packers will need to leverage their strengths to succeed.

Green Bay Packers’ Projected Record for 2024-25 NFL Record Revealed

Green Bay Packers, Matt LaFleur
Dec 31, 2023; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Green Bay Packers head coach Matt LaFleur runs off the field after the game against the Minnesota Vikings at U.S. Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports

Using their schedule, Green Bay’s record for the 2024-25 NFL season can somehow be touched upon. This can be seen in an analysis done by Cynthia Frelund for the league’s official website.

  • Ceiling: 11.2

  • Floor: 7.3

  • FanDuel over/under: 9.5

Jordan Love was pressured in under 2.5 seconds on just 9.4 percent of his dropbacks in 2023, the second-lowest rate faced by any qualified passer. That’s the kind of protection that helps a young field general gain confidence, something we definitely saw in the second half of last season from Green Bay’s first-year starter. My model’s biggest question for the Packers: How long will it take for the defense to get comfortable in new coordinator Jeff Hafley’s scheme?

The Packers are preparing for the 2024 season with significant roster changes. Key players like A.J. Dillon and Xavier McKinney have joined the team, while veterans such as David Bakhtiari and Aaron Jones have departed. With 11 new draft picks and several undrafted free agents, the Packers aim to enhance their competitiveness in the NFC.

Green Bay Packers, Matt LaFleur
Dec 17, 2023; Green Bay, Wisconsin, USA; Green Bay Packers head coach Matt LaFleur looks on during the second quarter against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Lambeau Field. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

It remains to be seen if Green Bay’s offseason can be enough to surpass their projected record for the upcoming campaign. With Love leading the charge, that can be made possible for the Packers.

Green Bay Packers, Matt LaFleur
Dec 31, 2023; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Green Bay Packers head coach Matt LaFleur runs off the field after the game against the Minnesota Vikings at U.S. Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports