The Washington Commanders' 7-3 record has put teams on notice, but whether they are true playoff contenders or beneficiaries of a light schedule remains an open question.
After finishing with a 4-13 record in 2023, Washington has exceeded expectations this season — largely in thanks to rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels. However, a closer look at the quality of its wins and losses reveals several areas of concern that cast doubt on its standing as legitimate Super Bowl contenders.
Of the Commanders' seven wins, six have come against teams that held losing records, including four decided by a single score. Washington's lone victory against a team holding a winning record came in Week 8 against the Chicago Bears, who were 4-3 at the time. Washington won in dramatic fashion with a last-second Hail Mary.
While the thrilling play was a standout moment for the franchise, it highlighted how close the game was and how little margin for error Washington had. Since then, the Bears have lost two more games, dropping them to 4-5, further diminishing the significance of the win.
Washington's three losses have come against teams holding winning records: the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-0), Baltimore Ravens (4-2) and Pittsburgh Steelers (7-2). The losses reveal a troubling trend in the Commanders' ability to win against above-average teams.
This is a significant red flag with Washington in the playoff race, particularly with the NFC playoff picture shaping up to be highly competitive.
Thursday's matchup against the Philadelphia Eagles will be crucial in determining whether Washington can shed its "pretender" label.
A win over Philadelphia would be a significant statement, not only securing a key division win but also affirming where the Commanders stand among the NFL.
